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The Catharsis Theory of 2006. - By Mickey Kaus - Slate Magazine
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"Briefing News & Politics Arts Life Business & Tech Science Podcasts & Video Blogs HOME / kausfiles : A mostly political Weblog. Hot New House Polls Plus--That anti-Ford ad, reconsidered. By Mickey Kaus Updated Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2006, at 3:14 AM ET Faster Party-Switching? Maybe the polls showing an unprecedently rapid Dem gain in party I.D. are wrong, as Michael Barone suggests . Or maybe party I.D. is just one more thing that's moving faster these days. 12:09 A.M. PRINT DISCUSS E-MAIL RSS RECOMMEND... SINGLE PAGE Facebook MySpace Mixx Digg Reddit del.icio.us Furl Ma.gnolia Sphere StumbleUpon CLOSE Hot New House Polls : A new wave of 41 Majority Watch robo-polls ** shows Dems leading outside the margin of error in 222 seats , leading by less in 18 more--for a likely Democratic gain of 19-39 seats . ... P.S.: See also Mystery Pollster 's seemingly scientific "mashup" of the two most recent Majority Watch polls, revealing a continued, if small, Democratic gain for the month of October . ... P.P.S.: How does MP's calculation, which adds up voters in 30 contested House districts, differ from that Greenberg/Roper/NPR poll kf sniped at a couple of weeks ago ? That's easy. The mashup effectively samples 30,000 voters; Greenberg/Roper only sampled 1,000. ... **--This is also the last wave of Majority Watch polls scheduled before the election. ... 2:29 P.M. I've been trying to figure out if a Democrat-led House would actually pass some version of the Bush-McCain semi-amnesty immigration bill . Everyone I talk to in Washington pooh-poohs the idea, arguing that Pelosi-led Democrats will never give Bush something he wants. I'd like to agree, but I'm skeptical. The only thing standing in the way of the Bush legislation was the Republican House, and if that's gone ... . Plus, there will be intense pressure from Latino groups for Democrats to take advantage of the rare welfare-reform-like opening in which a President is willin"
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