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The Catharsis Theory of 2006. - By Mickey Kaus - Slate Magazine


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"Briefing News & Politics Arts Life Business & Tech Science Podcasts & Video Blogs HOME / kausfiles : A mostly political Weblog. Hot New House Polls Plus--That anti-Ford ad, reconsidered. By Mickey Kaus Updated Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2006, at 3:14 AM ET Faster Party-Switching? Maybe the polls showing an unprecedently rapid Dem gain in party I.D. are wrong, as Michael Barone suggests . Or maybe party I.D. is just one more thing that's moving faster these days. 12:09 A.M. PRINT DISCUSS E-MAIL RSS RECOMMEND... SINGLE PAGE Facebook MySpace Mixx Digg Reddit del.icio.us Furl Ma.gnolia Sphere StumbleUpon CLOSE Hot New House Polls : A new wave of 41 Majority Watch robo-polls ** shows Dems leading outside the margin of error in 222 seats , leading by less in 18 more--for a likely Democratic gain of 19-39 seats . ... P.S.: See also Mystery Pollster 's seemingly scientific "mashup" of the two most recent Majority Watch polls, revealing a continued, if small, Democratic gain for the month of October . ... P.P.S.: How does MP's calculation, which adds up voters in 30 contested House districts, differ from that Greenberg/Roper/NPR poll kf sniped at a couple of weeks ago ? That's easy. The mashup effectively samples 30,000 voters; Greenberg/Roper only sampled 1,000. ... **--This is also the last wave of Majority Watch polls scheduled before the election. ... 2:29 P.M. I've been trying to figure out if a Democrat-led House would actually pass some version of the Bush-McCain semi-amnesty immigration bill . Everyone I talk to in Washington pooh-poohs the idea, arguing that Pelosi-led Democrats will never give Bush something he wants. I'd like to agree, but I'm skeptical. The only thing standing in the way of the Bush legislation was the Republican House, and if that's gone ... . Plus, there will be intense pressure from Latino groups for Democrats to take advantage of the rare welfare-reform-like opening in which a President is willin"
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Links to Pages on Other Domain Names

Website Address     Anchor Text     Visit Site
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2006/10/ the_story_behind_the_polls.html     as michael barone suggests     Visit Site
http://www.majoritywatch.com/     new wave of 41     Visit Site
http://www.pollster.com/mystery_pollster/majority_ watch_mashup.php     seemingly scientific mashup     Visit Site
http://vdare.com/sailer/061029_election.htm     steve sailer is skeptical too     Visit Site
http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/20 06/10/post_99.html     reason 7     Visit Site
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/writeup/ba ttle_for_the_house_of_representatives-51.html     new battle for the house scorecard page     Visit Site
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/writeup/el ection_2006-21.html     old page     Visit Site
http://time.blogs.com/daily_dish/2006/10/new_jerse y.html     andrew sullivan on the n j supreme court s gay marriage decision     Visit Site
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individu al/2006_10/009905.php     drum and his commenters     Visit Site
http://www.breitbart.com/news/2006/10/25/D8KVN7OG0 .html     as the ap s pre decision build up put it the nation s gay wedding chapel     Visit Site
http://www.judiciary.state.nj.us/opinions/notices. htm     tomorrow     Visit Site
http://influencepeddler.blogspot.com/2006/10/liber al-judge-to-hand-victory-to-kean.html     here     Visit Site
http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/20 06/10/the_saturday_br_9.html     here     Visit Site
http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/000978.p hp     one little problem     Visit Site
http://newsblogs.chicagotribune.com/news_theswamp/ 2006/10/gop_congress_ge.html     according to the     Visit Site
http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/10/ pelosi_would_put_corrupt_judge_in_charge_of_intell igence_secrets/     alcee hastings     Visit Site
http://www.judiciary.state.nj.us/opinions/notices. htm     never mind     Visit Site
http://www.villagevoice.com/news/0539,lombardi,682 02,6.html     said to pave the way for a hillary clinton     Visit Site
http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2006/10/a _media_conspiracy.html     writes     Visit Site
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/artic le/2006/10/21/AR2006102100360.html     suggest a bit harder     Visit Site
http://www.brendanloy.com/2006/10/daily-kos-contri butor-calls-me-an-oxymoron.html     brendan loy s jibe at the feeble amount of traffic     Visit Site
http://bloggingheads.tv/     dramatic unveiling     Visit Site
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/stephen-kaus/meet-th e-ignoramus-russ_b_29145.html     drives my brother up the wall     Visit Site
http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2006/10/s mall_movement_toward_the_gop.html     scrounges for republican bounce back tidbits     Visit Site
http://www.pollster.com/mystery_pollster/tennessee _polls_not_created_eq.php     this graph     Visit Site
http://www.majoritywatch.com/     lead outside the margin of error in 222 house races     Visit Site
http://thehill.com/thehill/export/TheHill/Comment/ DickMorris/101806.html     says they ll win     Visit Site
http://www.captainsquartersblog.com/mt/archives/00 8245.php     who assured him that the white house wanted to get as much coverage as possible     Visit Site
http://www.yale.edu/carillon/gcna2006/     frank lloyd wright said about the harkness tower     Visit Site
http://mediamatters.org/altercation/     eric alterman     Visit Site
http://constituentdynamics.com/mw/2006/index2.php     here     Visit Site
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/artic le/2006/10/09/AR2006100901006.html     fence meets wall of skepticism     Visit Site
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/nation/4237428 .html     9 billion     Visit Site
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/10/20 061011-5.html     already said he ll build the fence     Visit Site
http://jurist.law.pitt.edu/paperchase/2006/10/chin a-building-border-fence-facing.php     building a large barbed wire and concrete fence along parts of its border with north korea     Visit Site
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/8909F2DD-B7 80-4916-A97B-F79F6DCA861F.htm     900 kilometer fence     Visit Site
http://hotlineblog.nationaljournal.com/archives/20 06/10/the_boehner_mes.html     boasts to fellow house republicans     Visit Site
http://influencepeddler.blogspot.com/2006/10/pelos is-nightmare.html     two possible dem to gop party switchers     Visit Site
http://constituentdynamics.com/mw/2006/index2.php     polls 1 000 voters in     Visit Site
http://mambopalace.blogspot.com/2006/10/i-fucking- hate-slatecom.html     swath of destruction     Visit Site
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/showdown06/archiv es/individual/2006_10/009629.php     takes charles peters advice     Visit Site
http://www.nydailynews.com/front/story/462237p-388 764c.html     gets hammered by mccain aide john weaver     Visit Site
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gang_of_14     extraordinary circumstances     Visit Site
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bob-geiger/even-esqu ire-magazine-cal_b_31788.html     even esquire magazine calls for a democratic senate     Visit Site
http://www.mediabistro.com/fishbowlny/new_media/wh y_nyts_thomas_friedman_hates_timesselect_38351.asp     complained about being cut off from his vast overseas audience     Visit Site
http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2006/10/t he_gop_giving_up_on_dewine.html     jay cost doubts     Visit Site
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2006/10/16/rnc_l aunching_new_statewide_buy_in_ohio_senate_race.htm l     rothenberg sees no write off     Visit Site
http://www.nysun.com/article/41371     on     Visit Site
http://www.nysun.com/article/41371     according to the     Visit Site
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/artic le/2006/10/13/AR2006101301419.html     fleshed out non baker plan     Visit Site
http://www.insidebayarea.com/timesstar/localnews/c i_4493186     2006 contrarianism     Visit Site



Links to Pages on the Same Domain Name

Website Address     Anchor Text     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/2065896/view/2057067/     briefing     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/2065896/view/2057069/     news politics     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/2065896/view/2116427/     arts     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/2065896/view/2057226/     life     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/2065896/view/2118124/     business tech     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/2065896/view/2118125/     science     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/2065896/view/2182767/     podcasts video     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/2065896/view/2085943/     blogs     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/     home     Visit Site
http://slate.com/id/2152175/id/2152175/id/2065132/ landing/1     kausfiles     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/1004677/     faster     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/1004677/     voters now process information     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/2152216/nav/tap2/     declaring and not just once     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/2151465     loves the honda fit     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/2151413/     here     Visit Site
http://www.slate.com/id/2065132/landing/1     view our complete kausfiles archive     Visit Site