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The Future is Obvious! | kdedevelopers.org
This is just a sample of the content found on this website. Please visit the website to read the entire page. " Skip navigation . KDE Developer's Journals Home » blogs » richard dale's blog The Future is Obvious! Submitted by richard dale on Fri, 09/02/2005 - 11:26. KDE General Lately I've been thinking about both my past and my future. What strikes me is how easy it is to predict the future (not necessarily the same as being personally able to make it happen). In the early 1970's Alan Kay at Xerox PARC used Moore's law to predict when it would be possible to create a flat screen display based portable machine, he called a 'dynabook'. You just take the graphs of expected progress in microelectronics, extrapolate, and see about what year the hardware would arrive. In 1976, I started learning about programming with a course on AI as part of my philosophy degree. We used a PDP-11 machine running Unix via teletypes, which were like an interactive typewriter. You would type a line of text, and the teletype would print what you had typed on a roll of paper, send it to the computer, and then print any of the output returned. We were using the Pop-11 language (a more user friendly lisp) seamlessly integrated with the ed line editor, and could develop code interactively by typing stuff in and trying it out. At the end of a session you could tear off the roll of paper to take home and study, like we would sync with a PDA today. It took me a while to get into programming in this strange creaky environment (by modern standards), but gradually I found I was more interested in computers than philosophy, and was better at it. So in late 1977 my philosphy professor, Aaron Sloman, told me of a special issue of Scientific American about the future of computing. I bought the magazine and was blown away. You could see that even though computers of the day was obviously rubbish, in a few short years they w" .... read entire page
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