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May 03, 2009 see more Lolcats and funny pictures Posted by Steven Lagavulin on May 03, 2009 Permalink Comments (2) TrackBack (0) November 01, 2008 When the Tide Goes Out, No Boats Rise I want to add a quick post here, albeit only for my own personal sense of completeness. Contrary to virtually every analyst everywhere, I've long stated that I did not feel China was an unquestioned shoe-in to emerge as the next great world power. As early as 2004 (" All Dressed-Up, But Nowhere to Go... ") I argued: "China is an old country, certainly, and is already filled to the brim with people. Their modern economic growth has been the result of nothing other than their success at leveraging the last few bucks out of the Industrial revolution. What China has to its credit is cheap labor. That's the "resource" they've efficiently exploited during this last gasp of Industrialism. But they won't have the fossil-fuels needed to support the future they seem to be building toward. In fact they won't even have the "resource of money" they'd need, since the Dollar explosion is already fizzling and it's not going to be replaced by the Euro or Yuan (and there is certainly not enough gold in the world to fund their future). The Chinese are undoubtedly having fun getting all dressed up, but they've really got nowhere to go...." So I've been curiously following lately how well the Chinese economy is weathering the current financial crisis. Sure, the Hang Seng has been cut in half, but what's transpiring in the real nuts 'n' bolts economy? 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