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Belmont Club
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"Belmont Club
History and History in the Making
Monday, May 02, 2005
Non-State Belligerents
The bombing of a Baghdad ice cream parlor reminded
George Will (hat tip: Donald
Sensing ) of a similar scene in Franco Solina's the Battle
of Algiers (scene 65). In the late 1950s the Algerian FLN drove the
French out of Algeria through a successful campaign of terror. George Will
believes that similar methods will not work in Iraq because the Iraqi insurgency "does
not have a fighting faith" of the FLN. While the Algerian insurgency
"was fueled by the most potent 'ism' of a century of isms -- nationalism
... one of the strange, almost surreal, aspects of the Iraqi insurgency is its
lack of ideological content."
Professor Max
Manwaring of US Army War College (hat tip: Austin
Bay ) argues that it is precisely for that reason -- the lack of ideological
content -- that modern insurgencies are so dangerous. The FLN was an insurgency
aspiring to become a state; whereas many modern insurgencies are "nonstate
belligerents" without such ambitions and they comprise most of the security threats in the world
today.
While some international boundary disputes remain alive such as the
Bolivian desire to regain access to the Pacific Ocean, and the chronic
problems between India and Pakistan, the Koreas, and Ethiopia/Eritrea only a
relatively few conventional formations of enemy soldiers are massing and
preparing to invade the territory of a neighbor. What we see instead are
numerous nonstate and transnational actors, including gangs, actively engaged
in internal disruption and destabilization efforts.
Manwaring argues that security threats in the 21st century are less likely to
come from invading armies than Osama Bin Laden's terrorists, cul"
....
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